Rau Suav ntim hnab ntim khoom lag luam hauv xyoo 2025, nws yuav yog ib xyoos uas muaj cov kev sib tw thiab cov ntsiab lus hloov. Raws li cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm General Administration ntawm kev lis kev cai, txij lub Ib Hlis Ntuj txog Lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2025, kev xa tawm ntim ntawm cov khoom yas tau txo qis los ntawm 1.47%, thiab cov ntaub ntawv rau thawj peb lub hlis twg txawm pom ib xyoo - ntawm - xyoo poob ntawm 8.3%. Kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb rau cov hnab yas pov tseg ib txwm yog shrinking. Txawm li cas los xij, tom qab cov nuj nqis zoo li no, cov txheej txheem tsim los ntawm cov khoom siv tshiab, kev hloov pauv hauv cov ntawv thov, thiab kev hloov pauv hauv cheeb tsam xav tau yog tshwm sim - raws li cov neeg tsim khoom loj tshaj plaws suav nrog 28% ntawm cov khoom siv thoob ntiaj teb, txoj kev hloov pauv ntawm Suav cov chaw tsim khoom yuav ua kom pom tseeb hauv 2026.
Raws li cov ntaub ntawv kev lis kev cai los ntawm 2025, cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam platform, thiab kev tshawb fawb ntawm kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb, peb yuav pab koj piav qhia txog cov ntsiab lus tseem ceeb rau 2026:
Cov khoom lag luam ib txwm muaj nyob rau hauv siab, nrog cov ntim khoom xa tawm qhia qhov poob qis.Nyob rau thawj 11 lub hlis ntawm 2025, tus nqi xa tawm ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam ntim yas yog 17.588 billion US las, nqis 1.47% xyoo-rau- xyoo. Xav txog 8.3% xyoo-ntawm- xyoo poob ntawm cov nqi xa tawm ntawm "cov khoom yas" los ntawm General Administration of Customs thaum pib xyoo 2025, kev txiav txim rau cov tsoos nyias- lub hnab ntim cov hnab thiab ultra- cov hnab ntim khoom ntim tau nrawm nrawm. Qhov no feem ntau cuam tshuam los ntawm ib qho - sij hawm txwv txiav yas hauv 120 lub teb chaws thoob ntiaj teb, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyob rau hauv European Union thiab North American lag luam.
Cov ntaub ntawv hloov pauv ntawm lub platform qhia tau hais tias "lub teeb" thiab "siab-tus nqi" sib koom ua ke. Saib xyuas cov ntaub ntawv hloov pauv ntawm B2B platform, nws tuaj yeem pom tias xyoo 2025, muaj qhov tseem ceeb polarization.Qhov qis -kawg lub hiav txwv liab nug ntim rau cov tsoos HDPE handbags tau nqis los ntawm kwv yees li 25%, thiab cov khoom lag luam zoo sib xws tau raug ntes nyob rau hauv ib qho nqi. war.Mid-rau-siab-kawg xiav dej hiav txwv: Lub hnab ntim khoom muaj 30%-50% ncej-cov neeg siv khoom siv rov ua dua tshiab, txawm hais tias tus nqi tsev yog 8%-10% siab dua, tau txhim kho qhov hloov pauv ntawm kev muag khoom ntawm European buyers. Lub caij no, tau tsav los ntawm cov nqi thauj khoom, siab -lub zog LDPE hnab uas tuaj yeem txo cov ntim ntim los ntawm 15% tau txais kev pom zoo los ntawm cov neeg muag khoom e-lag luam hla ciam teb txawm tias cov khoom siv tau txais txiaj ntsig, vim tias lawv tuaj yeem txo tus nqi thauj khoom los ntawm 12%.
Cov ntsiab lus ntawm PCR (Post-Consumer Recycled Resin) dhau los ua cov khoom muaj txiaj ntsig.42% ntawm cov neeg siv khoom thoob ntiaj teb kom meej meej nyiam cov hnab yas uas muaj cov khoom siv rov ua dua tshiab.Qhov kev siv ntawm European EPR (Producer Responsibility Extended) system mandates that imported plastic ntim yuav tsum muaj qee feem pua ntawm cov khoom siv rov qab.
Factories yuav tsum tsim kom muaj cov saw hlau ruaj khov rau cov khoom siv PCR. Piv txwv li, lub hnab muag khoom muaj 50% cov khoom siv rov ua dua tshiab los ntawm thoob ntiaj teb loj Novolex hauv 2025 tau txheeb xyuas qhov kev xav tau ntawm kev lag luam. Rau cov chaw tsim khoom hauv Suav teb, ib qho uas tuaj yeem tau txais GRS (Ntiaj Teb Recycling Standard) daim ntawv pov thawj, tuaj yeem tswj xyuas PCR ntawm qhov ruaj khov ntawm 30%-50% thiab xyuas kom muaj zog, yuav tuaj yeem ruaj ntseg xaj mus ntev los ntawm cov khw muag khoom loj hauv Tebchaws Europe thiab Asmeskas xyoo 2026.
Kev sib tw thev naus laus zis ntawm lub teeb yuag thiab siab - cov yeeb yaj kiab ua tau zoo.Raws li "npub piv" txoj cai them nqi rau kev xa khoom sai, txhua phaus khaws cia hauv qhov hnyav yog cov txiaj ntsig ntshiab.
Kev ntsuas kev kawm: Los ntawm 2025, cov tuam txhab ua lag luam hauv kev lag luam tau txo qis kev siv ib zaug -cov ntaub ntawv hnab los ntawm 12-18%.Tom ntej ntawm kev tawg los ntawm kev sib xyaw thev naus laus zis ntawm LDPE thiab LLDPE, txhawm rau txo cov tuab thaum tuav lub kua muag ua haujlwm. Ua tib zoo mloog cov kev lag luam nyob rau sab hnub tuaj Asia thiab Latin America, qhov twg qhov kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam e-lag luam tau nrawm thiab muaj kev xav tau zoo rau cov hnab ntim khoom hnyav uas tuaj yeem txo nqi thiab ua tau raws li kev tiv thaiv.